Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000214 0.000239 0.000266 0.000297 0.000332 0.000369 0.000412
2025-05-25 0.000175 0.000209 0.000247 0.000294 0.000349 0.000412 0.000490
2025-06-01 0.000146 0.000184 0.000229 0.000287 0.000360 0.000448 0.000561
2025-06-08 0.000125 0.000165 0.000216 0.000284 0.000374 0.000486 0.000638
2025-06-15 0.000109 0.000151 0.000207 0.000284 0.000389 0.000527 0.000722
2025-06-22 0.000096 0.000139 0.000197 0.000281 0.000400 0.000562 0.000799
2025-06-29 0.000087 0.000131 0.000192 0.000285 0.000420 0.000611 0.000899
2025-07-06 0.000079 0.000123 0.000187 0.000286 0.000436 0.000654 0.000994
2025-07-13 0.000071 0.000115 0.000180 0.000284 0.000446 0.000688 0.001077
2025-07-20 0.000067 0.000111 0.000179 0.000291 0.000470 0.000746 0.001199
2025-07-27 0.000062 0.000106 0.000175 0.000293 0.000487 0.000792 0.001307
2025-08-03 0.000057 0.000101 0.000171 0.000294 0.000500 0.000834 0.001410
2025-08-10 0.000052 0.000094 0.000165 0.000290 0.000508 0.000868 0.001507
2025-08-17 0.000049 0.000090 0.000162 0.000293 0.000526 0.000921 0.001637
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000085 0.000156 0.000290 0.000534 0.000956 0.001741
2025-08-31 0.000041 0.000081 0.000152 0.000289 0.000545 0.000998 0.001859
2025-09-07 0.000038 0.000077 0.000149 0.000290 0.000559 0.001046 0.001992
2025-09-14 0.000035 0.000073 0.000144 0.000288 0.000567 0.001084 0.002107
2025-09-21 0.000034 0.000071 0.000143 0.000292 0.000588 0.001147 0.002276
2025-09-28 0.000032 0.000068 0.000141 0.000294 0.000604 0.001201 0.002430
2025-10-05 0.000029 0.000065 0.000137 0.000291 0.000611 0.001239 0.002555
2025-10-12 0.000028 0.000064 0.000138 0.000299 0.000639 0.001319 0.002771
2025-10-19 0.000027 0.000062 0.000136 0.000301 0.000657 0.001379 0.002949